{"id":29464,"date":"2018-09-27T00:05:29","date_gmt":"2018-09-27T03:05:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/?p=29464"},"modified":"2019-05-12T12:41:56","modified_gmt":"2019-05-12T15:41:56","slug":"levantamento-projeta-nova-composicao-partidaria-da-camara","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/2018\/09\/27\/levantamento-projeta-nova-composicao-partidaria-da-camara\/","title":{"rendered":"Levantamento projeta nova composi\u00e7\u00e3o partid\u00e1ria da C\u00e2mara"},"content":{"rendered":"<article id=\"post-358110\" class=\"post-358110 opiniao type-opiniao status-publish has-post-thumbnail  category-eleicoes tag-camara tag-diap tag-mdb tag-novo-congresso-2 tag-pt coluna-colunas single-post-content has-thumbnail\">\n<div class=\"post-header post-tp-1-header\">\n<h6 class=\"single-post-title\">Em levantamento preliminar feito pelo Departamento Intersindical de Assessoria Parlamentar (Diap), em parceria com a empresa Queiroz Assessoria Parlamentar e Sindical, a composi\u00e7\u00e3o das bancadas da futura C\u00e2mara n\u00e3o ser\u00e1 muito diferente da atual, com um pequeno crescimento da direta e da esquerda e encolhimento discreto do centro.<\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"entry-content clearfix single-post-content on\">\n<p>Para manter ou ampliar suas bancadas \u2013 especialmente pelo interesse nos recursos dos fundos eleitoral e partid\u00e1rio e no hor\u00e1rio eleitoral gratuito \u2013 os partidos, como regra, utilizaram dois tipos de estrat\u00e9gia: a) promover coliga\u00e7\u00f5es visando um melhor desempenho e b) escalar seus principais nomes para a C\u00e2mara Federal, notadamente deputados estaduais bem votados, como fez o PT e outros partidos \u00e0 esquerda e \u00e0 direta do espectro pol\u00edtico.<\/p>\n<p>Pelo levantamento preliminar, o PT ter\u00e1 a maior bancada, seguido do MDB, PSDB, PP e PSD, num intervalo entre 40 a 65 deputados. Num segundo grupo est\u00e3o o PR, seguido do DEM, PSB, PDT e PRB, com bancadas variando de 20 a 40 deputados. Num terceiro bloco est\u00e3o: PTB, PSL, Pros, PSC, PPS, PCdoB, Podemos, Psol e Solidariedade, com bancadas entre 10 a 20 deputados. Num quarto grupo, entre cinco a dez deputados, est\u00e3o a Rede, o Novo, o Avante e o PV. E por \u00faltimo, abaixo de cinco, est\u00e3o: PRB, Patriota, PRTB e PTC.<\/p>\n<table width=\"567\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\" width=\"495\"><strong>Elei\u00e7\u00f5es 2018 &#8211; C\u00e2mara dos Deputados &#8211; Bancadas<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"72\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\"><strong>Partido<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"146\"><strong>Bancada eleita em 2014<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"47\"><strong>Atual<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"175\"><strong>Progn\u00f3stico Diap\/2018<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>M\u00ednimo\/M\u00e1ximo<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"72\"><strong>Previs\u00e3o dos partidos<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PT<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">68<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">61<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">55-65<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">60-72<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">MDB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">65<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">51<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">44-50<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">55<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PSDB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">54<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">49<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">42-50<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">55-60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PP<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">38<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">50<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">40-48<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">52-60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PSD<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">36<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">37<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">36-44<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">45-50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PR<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">34<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">40<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">36-40<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">40<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">DEM<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">21<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">43<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">28-36<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">40-45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PSB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">34<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">26<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">27-34<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">30-35<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PTB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">25<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">16<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">16-20<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">25-27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PRB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">21<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">21<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">22-30<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">20-30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PDT<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">20<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">19<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">24-30<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">30-40<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PSL<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">8<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">15-18<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">Solidariedade<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">15<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">10<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">9-18<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PSC<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">13<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">9<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">10-14<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PROS<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">11<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">11<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">11-16<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PTN\/Podemos<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">4<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">17<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">10-13<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PPS<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">10<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">8<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">11-13<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">12-15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PCdoB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">10<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">10<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">10-12<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">13-14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">Psol<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">5<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">6<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">8-12<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PV<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">8<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">3<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">6-10<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">16<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">Rede<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">6-10<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">9-15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">Novo<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">5-10<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PTdoB\/Avante<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">5<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">5-8<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PRP<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">3<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">3-5<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PMN<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">3<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">0-1<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PEN\/Patriota<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">5<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">1-3<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">DC<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">0-1<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PTC<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">2<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">1-2<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PRTB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">1-2<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PHS<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">5<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">4<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">0-2<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PPL<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">1<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">0-1<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"126\">PMB<\/td>\n<td width=\"146\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"47\">0<\/td>\n<td width=\"175\">0-1<\/td>\n<td width=\"72\">s\/previs\u00e3o<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>Fonte: Diap e Queiroz Assessoria\u00a0\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>O levantamento evidencia tamb\u00e9m que haver\u00e1 elevado \u00edndice de reelei\u00e7\u00e3o e uma grande circula\u00e7\u00e3o no poder, com deputados estaduais, senadores, ex-ministros, ex-deputados, suplentes bem votados, ex-prefeitos e ex-secret\u00e1rios se elegendo para as vagas decorrentes de desist\u00eancia de atuais deputados e da n\u00e3o-reelei\u00e7\u00e3o daqueles que tentaram renovar seus mandatos. Os poucos efetivamente novos ser\u00e3o eleitos por serem policiais linha dura, evang\u00e9licos fundamentalistas, celebridades ou em raz\u00e3o da for\u00e7a do dinheiro e da rela\u00e7\u00e3o de parentesco com oligarquias estaduais.<\/p>\n<p>Sobre as motiva\u00e7\u00f5es do elevado \u00edndice de reelei\u00e7\u00e3o e a circula\u00e7\u00e3o no poder, recomendo a leitura dos artigos de nossa autoria com os t\u00edtulos\u00a0<strong>\u201cPor que a renova\u00e7\u00e3o do Congresso tende a ser baixa?\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0e\u00a0\u201c<strong>Renova\u00e7\u00e3o ou circula\u00e7\u00e3o no poder na C\u00e2mara dos Deputados<\/strong>\u201d, que est\u00e3o dispon\u00edveis para busca livre na internet.<\/p>\n<p>O relat\u00f3rio completo e atualizado do levantamento \u2013 com a proje\u00e7\u00e3o por estado e por coliga\u00e7\u00e3o, acompanhado dos nomes competitivos em cada partido \u2013 ser\u00e1 divulgado at\u00e9 o dia 30 deste m\u00eas, em relat\u00f3rio em fase de elabora\u00e7\u00e3o pela equipe do Diap e da Queiroz Assessoria.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"post-author-name\"><b>Cr\u00e9dito: Ant\u00f4nio Augusto De Queiroz\/Congresso em Foco &#8211; dispon\u00edvel na internet 27\/09\/2018<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Em levantamento preliminar feito pelo Departamento Intersindical de Assessoria Parlamentar (Diap), em parceria com a empresa Queiroz Assessoria Parlamentar e Sindical, a composi\u00e7\u00e3o das bancadas da futura C\u00e2mara n\u00e3o ser\u00e1 muito diferente da atual, com um pequeno crescimento da direta e da esquerda e encolhimento discreto do centro. Para manter ou ampliar suas bancadas \u2013 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13335,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[135],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-29464","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-clipping"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/congresso-2.jpg?fit=685%2C268&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29464"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29464\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13335"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29464"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29464"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asmetro.org.br\/portalsn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}